This is my semi-regular Monday rant editorial, delayed bit until Tuesday.
Interesting thoughts last week from my colleague Bob … no, not that Bob, Bob Thompson, writer of books and Internet guru since well before there was an Internet.
Right now, I’d guess that the upper 10% or 15% of the population can do (and does) all of the real work that actually needs to be done. Obviously, a lot more than 10% to 15% of the population are employed, but the bulk of them are in make-work jobs that actually contribute little or nothing to the economy. As a rich country, we’ve been able to afford those inefficiencies, but as the economic crunch continues that’s becoming less practical. I read the other day that white males, the group that historically suffers least from an economic crisis, are now experiencing a 20% unemployment rate. What’s far worse is that this is structural unemployment. That 20% not only don’t have jobs now, but never will again (my emphasis). To say that has profound implications going forward is probably the understatement of the century.
Despite that, I remain optimistic. Science and technology can get us out of this hole, but only if they’re given free rein. We need to focus our efforts on ensuring that our best and brightest kids are well educated and steered into STEM fields. The upper 1% (actually, the upper 0.1%) are the ones who’ll make a difference. Right now, we concentrate too much attention on dividing the economic pie equitably, and too little attention on growing that pie. …
Some further thoughts on the work, production and tax issues and what they mean for America. … and the Philippines. 9despite the noise you sometimes here from a microscopic fraction of the well-to-do but shiftless “rich boys” here, Filipinos copy what the US does with almost slavish dedication. It really gets old, at times, more than once, being asked for the umpteenth time how something is done in America I have to choke back the urge to shout out, “Don’t ask me, think for yourself, damn it!”
The taxes are in the mail and, as usual, our bank balance on April 15th is a lot smaller than it was on the 14th. I suppose we should be thankful to be in our half of the population, though, because the other half of the US population pays no federal income taxes at all. Consider the implications of that. Half of the US population now works to support the other half, who contribute nothing. In reality, of course, it’s much worse than that, because a large percentage of those who do pay federal income taxes are actually net tax consumers. They’re public employees, which means they’re also being supported by the small productive fraction of US workers. …
For new hires of college graduates, the numbers are stark. Kids who’ve obtained degrees in majors that I’ve previously characterized as "useless"–English, history, sociology, *-studies, and so on–aren’t getting any job offers at all, or if they are those offers are in the sub-$20,000 range. Those who’ve obtained degrees in what I’ve previously characterized as "real" subjects–the hard sciences, engineering, and so on–are getting job offers in the $40,000, $50,000, or $60,000 range. So I’m going to sit down with Jas and suggest that she really should consider majoring in chemistry or biology or engineering. Something that’ll give her a reasonable chance of a decent job offer once she graduates.
My thoughts on this pretty much mirror Bob’s. A great many people in the US … especially failed real estate hypesters (oops, “professionals), unemployed auto workers, and the “poor” who have enough money for beer and wings and hanging out at the local sports bar will frequently bitch to all who will listen, and even those who don’t want to, about those Indian or Pakistani or Chinese or Vietnamese or Israeli or Palestinian or … it could go on, fill in your own ethnicity) who are ‘stealing American jobs’.
The issue the chronic complainers fail to address is … about 4% of US students starting college opt for real STEM (that’s Science, Technology, Engineering, and Mathematics in case you were wondering). Whereas, in China or India, about 40% are enrolled in such programs.
If you read the roster of successful companies, or search the news regarding new research breakthroughs at universities guess what you’ll find? A highly disproportionate number of “foreign” names.
I’ll give you a hint. Those “foreigners” didn’t get there by “stealing” anything … they got there by doing the work and slogging through the courses that 96% of ‘true blue American” kids refuse to take. Essentially, they took the road less traveled and the Did The Math!
For too many years our country has been satisfied with the illusion that ‘service’ jobs, like selling stocks, flogging houses at outrageous prices and “advising people on their investments” … and demanding getting a bonus even if the client goes broke … are acceptable, productive ways to earn a living. Going to school for a business degree so you can get a job as a junior “stock pusher” with Bear Stearns? Oh wow, good on you.
But if you are in a position to advise young people, or if you are still one of those lucky young people making life changing decisions right now, consider this … what will your chosen field of endeavor actually PRODUCE?
Food for thought.
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